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Impersonation Fraud alert

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Some individuals have falsely impersonated us or claimed to be our franchise, using our logo and website screenshots to mislead prospects into making payments

Please be cautious and note the following

1. Our official contact number is +91-8806058625, and our official email addresses are enquiry@rccapitalmanagement.com and admin@rccapitalmanagement.com. These are clearly listed on our website: rccapitalmanagement.com and twitter handle. We do not use any other phone numbers or email addresses, nor do we operate through any franchise

2. We never accept payments in cash or into any personal accounts. All payments must be made exclusively into our firm’s Current Account named “RC Capital Management,” only after the required regulatory onboarding or renewal processes are completed

How to become an investor – Part 1

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I am a big believer in continuous learning. As an investor, that is the only sustainable edge over the long run. To beat the market, you have to put in the work. There is no seniority in the market where you can coast along based on your past laurels

Learning for the beginner

For beginners it’s much easier – Books. Pick up a few books on accounting, business, finance etc and learn the basics. For someone diligent, this would take a year or two on average

Don’t worry about finding the best books on these topics. Just google the top 5 books in each area and start reading. If you have a question on some topic, get a cheap subscription to Chatgpt or some other LLM and work with it. Ask those questions to the LLM – It is a wonderful tutor on any topic

Learning for the novice

Once you know the basics, don’t look for a magic course or a silver bullet to make you proficient in the market. You will find a lot of courses which promise to make you the next Buffett or expert trader with very little effort. They are all scams

If you must use a course, it should be to learn the basics and even there, most courses are mainly a condensed version of books. So, use these courses to speed up the learning process

Once you are past the basics, the best option is to dive in. Based on your preferred approach, start analyzing companies. Make a lot of notes as you filter ideas and deploy money in them. Keep in mind that you will make mistakes in the beginning.

Start small so that you can keep the tuition fee low

At this stage, seek out mentors. If you find someone who is willing to take you under their wings, you have hit the jackpot. Do the best to learn from your mentor, but at the same time be critical enough not to take everything your mentor tells you as the absolute truth

I have had a lot of mentors from whom I have learnt but have never spoken to them. In my case, it has been by reading and re-reading what they have written. It’s amazing how much you can get just by doing that

This stage can last years but as you keep doing it, you will progress in your understanding of how to invest and will improve your returns

Learning for the expert

In a few years, you will start feeling like an expert. If it coincides with a bull market, you will even feel like a genius. You will start entertaining ideas of quitting the market and becoming a full time investor. At this stage you will proudly display your results on social media

And then the bear market will hit and wipe a good chunk of your gains

That’s when you will realize that there are no gurus or gods in the market. Everyone is learning and figuring it out every day.

If you accept that continuous learning is the only way to keep doing well in the market, then this stage is both exciting and problematic. It’s problematic because there are no books or courses which can teach you everything, but you still have to figure out a way to learn

At this stage, you are your own teacher who has to design his own course and figure things out. You can reach out to new mentors – but often these will be in targeted areas. For example, if you want to learn more about a sector, find someone who has in depth understanding of it. You can find such people on social media – read what they write, ask them questions if you can

The same goes for any new area you are exploring. In such cases you are a novice. If you find yourself in that position, celebrate that situation. You have a beginner’s mind and can now experience the same feeling of doubt and confusion you felt when you started. That is the start of a new phase of rapid learning

In my next post I will dig deeper into how you can design your own learning process once you have mastered the basics

Investing as a marathon

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We wrote the following note to our subscribers


We are in the middle of the earning season. I wanted to share what we are seeing and how we are thinking about the portfolio.

The overall results have been patchy with single digit topline and profit growth for several companies. There are sub-sectors which have shown better performance, some of which we hold in our portfolio

Private sector banks/NBFC : This segment has shown mid teens (15-20%) growth in topline and profits. As the rate cycle turns, it should help the NIM in case of banks which have a strong liability profile. We have two positions in this segment

PSU banks: Several PSU banks such as Union bank, PSB bank have shown decent results

Healthcare/Diagnostics space: Several companies in the diagnostics space have delivered good performance. These companies are 100% domestic and have no impact from Geopolitical issues. Our holding in this space has delivered good results

Jewelery: Companies in this space have posted high growth driven by gold prices. Kalyan jewelers had 37% growth in sales and profit. Titan company posted around 19% growth in sales. Also the continued rise in price could impact the demand for gold in time

Hotels: This segment continues to perform well with an increasing ARR driven by increasing demand supply gap. Demand continues to outpace supply.

Pharma/CDMO space: The long term trend of outsourcing research, development and manufacturing of NCE continues. This trend is similar to the IT services business which leverages the capability and cost arbitrage across countries. We hold a few positions in this space

Diversified without concentration

We cap the size of our positions at 5% and around 15% for any sector. This allows us to manage risk.

At the same time, we are also diversified across sectors. The upside is that some part of our portfolio is always doing well. The flip side is that some parts of the portfolio is also doing badly. That is the point of diversification

If your portfolio is doing too well at a point of time, then your diversification is too low. There is nothing good or bad about it – it’s a personal risk preference

As we have shared in the past, we prefer above average returns with below average risk. That means we will never have mind blowing results, but then we will also avoid stomach churning losses

For us investing is a 20+ year marathon. If we want to be around doing this in 2045, then its important to keep our blood pressure low and sleep well. An above average results for a very long time, will work wonders as our past record shows

Is it the right time?

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This is the most common question we get from our new subscribers when they enquire about our service. The second question most frequent question is – what do you think about the market?

Both the questions are linked. Let’s explore the assumptions behind these questions.

The investor is trying to time their entry in the market to maximize their return. If they can time the market more precisely, the portfolio returns should improve. That is the theory.

The Time angle

Let’s explore this question first from the time horizon of the individual. For the sake of argument, lets look at the two extremes – one is a swing trader, and the other is a buy and hold investor with 10+ year horizon.

The swing trader has a holding period of 3-6 months and for this person, the near-term direction of the market makes a lot of difference. At the other extreme, the buy and hold investor could care less about what happens in the next 6 months. As long as the long-term economics of the company is intact, he does not care.

We have a time horizon between 2-5 years. For us the near-term direction of the market has some implication, but not a lot. Let me expand on this.

We watch the overall market to look for the extremes. If the market is too frothy and so are our stocks, we start reducing our exposure progressively as we have done in the past. At the other end, when the market gets cheap, we reduce our cash and raise our exposure.

This range is wide and most times we ignore the state of the market. We are focused on the prospects of individual stocks and follow a bottoms up approach.

Asset allocation

This gets to the second element of our process – asset allocation. Although we do not manage this for our clients, we follow a simple approach for our money. We have a pre-decided allocation for equity, debt, real estate and so on. As the markets rise, we rebalance the portfolio to get the allocations back to target.

For example, if the target equity allocation is 70% of our asset mix, we reduce our exposure to achieve the target when markets get overvalued. Selling some of the overvalued stocks and raising the cash levels allows us to reduce risk in the portfolio and achieve the target allocation at the same time.

 

Combining the two

As long-term investors, we cannot swing from 0% to targeted equity allocation in your portfolio based on market levels. We follow a graded approach of working within a band where we reduce risk to our equity portfolio when valuations get out of whack. That also achieves the asset allocation targets.

Instead of asking whether this is a good time to invest, the better questions to ask are

  • Am I below or over my equity allocation in my portfolio? If below I can allocate more capital to it
  • Are there opportunities which will do well over 2-3 years and are reasonably priced. If yes, then I can add to them subject to the limits from previous point.

Unless you are a swing trader or position trader, there is no need to agonize over the precise market level. It makes sense to slowly raise or reduce your allocations based on the above two factors.

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